Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222Qualitative assessment of groundwater for agriculture and industrypurposesin Sahra Bagh plain,Larestan, IranQualitative assessment of groundwater for agriculture and industrypurposesin Sahra Bagh plain,Larestan, Iran3453565806110.22059/ije.2015.58061FATooranShirvaniIslamic Azad University, Firozabad BranchImanShirvani SaroeiFaculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranMohammad HosseinBoochaniPhD Student in University of Shahid BeheshtiFarshidArefFaculty of Soil Sciences, Islamic Azad University, Firozabad Branch.Journal Article20160116Groundwaterqualityassessmentandmappingquality parametersto assesstheresource fordifferent purposesis important.The purposeofthisstudy was toevaluate the qualityof groundwaterSahra Bagh Plainandmapping itfordifferentpurposes.Forthispurpose, thegroundwaterquality datafrom (1382 to 1392)wasused. Inthisstudy,to evaluate effect ofwater scaling and corrosion from Lanzlyh saturation and stability Ryznar indexes were used andwater quality parameterssuch asCations (calcium, magnesium, sodiumandpotassium) andanions(chlorideand bicarbonate), andotherrelevant indicatorssuch asTDS, TH and SARwereevaluated.The results show that the mean of LSI index of this plain aquiferwas 0.48, so deposition potential of this ground water is moderate.The mean of RSI index of Sahara Bagh Aquifer was 6.4, so corrosive potential of this ground water is low.LSI coefficient of variationis larger than the RSI coefficient of variation also,probablysaid that RSI index is sensitive compared index LSI.Averageamount of EC inSahra Bagh aquifer’s is 6978μS / that it isin a classof non-quality groundwaterforirrigation and amount of PH in the plain aquifer's was Alkaline and Varies from a minimum of 7 to a maximum of 7/5. Averageamount of TDS in this aquiferis493 mg / Lthat it is in a classof non-quality groundwaterfor irrigationinSahra bagh.As well ascalcium, potassium and sodium were dominantcationsof this aquifer.
<strong> </strong>Groundwaterqualityassessmentandmappingquality parametersto assesstheresource fordifferent purposesis important.The purposeofthisstudy was toevaluate the qualityof groundwaterSahra Bagh Plainandmapping itfordifferentpurposes.Forthispurpose, thegroundwaterquality datafrom (1382 to 1392)wasused. Inthisstudy,to evaluate effect ofwater scaling and corrosion from Lanzlyh saturation and stability Ryznar indexes were used andwater quality parameterssuch asCations (calcium, magnesium, sodiumandpotassium) andanions(chlorideand bicarbonate), andotherrelevant indicatorssuch asTDS, TH and SARwereevaluated.The results show that the mean of LSI index of this plain aquiferwas 0.48, so deposition potential of this ground water is moderate.The mean of RSI index of Sahara Bagh Aquifer was 6.4, so corrosive potential of this ground water is low.LSI coefficient of variationis larger than the RSI coefficient of variation also,probablysaid that RSI index is sensitive compared index LSI.Averageamount of EC inSahra Bagh aquifer’s is 6978μS / that it isin a classof non-quality groundwaterforirrigation and amount of PH in the plain aquifer's was Alkaline and Varies from a minimum of 7 to a maximum of 7/5. Averageamount of TDS in this aquiferis493 mg / Lthat it is in a classof non-quality groundwaterfor irrigationinSahra bagh.As well ascalcium, potassium and sodium were dominantcationsof this aquifer.
<strong> </strong>Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222Investigating the effects of land use on runoff generation using WetSpa modelInvestigating the effects of land use on runoff generation using WetSpa model3573695806210.22059/ije.2015.58062FAMajidMohammadyFaculty of Natural Resources, Semnan University, Semnan, IranHoseinZeinivandDepartment of Range and Watershed Management Engineering, Lorestan University, Lorestan, IranHamidrezaMoradi3College of Natural Resources and Marine Sciences, Tarbiat Modares University, Noor, Mazandaran, IranHamid RezaPourghasemiDepartment of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz, IranHassanFarazjooBureau of Water Resources Research, Golestan Regional Water Authority, Gorgan, IranJournal Article20150806The main objective of this research was assessing the effects of land use on runoff parameters such as total runoff, surface runoff and peak discharges at the Baghsalian watershed as a case study site. At first, land use maps of 1986 and 2012 were prepared using a synthetic method and landsat images. WetSpa model was applied to simulate daily runoff for 8 years (the first 5 years as calibration and the last 3 years as validation periods) with land use maps of years 1986 and 2012. Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency and aggregation measure was used to assess the accuracy of WetSpa model. The Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency was obtained 0.61% and 0.56% for the calibration and validation periods respectively. Moreover the aggregation measure criterion had values of 64% and 62% for the calibration and validation periods respectively. These criteria showed that the WetSpa model is a suitable model to simulate runoff in the Baghsalian watershed. As a result of land use changes from 1986 to 2012, simulated total runoff, surface runoff and peak discharges rates increased, while the rate of increase in surface runoff was higher than the rate of increase in total runoff. Total run off and surface run off for land use 1986 was 431.62 and 158.77 million m<sup>3</sup> respectively and pick discharge was 27.45. These values for land use 2012 was 480.31, 182.86 and 30.94.
<strong> </strong>The main objective of this research was assessing the effects of land use on runoff parameters such as total runoff, surface runoff and peak discharges at the Baghsalian watershed as a case study site. At first, land use maps of 1986 and 2012 were prepared using a synthetic method and landsat images. WetSpa model was applied to simulate daily runoff for 8 years (the first 5 years as calibration and the last 3 years as validation periods) with land use maps of years 1986 and 2012. Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency and aggregation measure was used to assess the accuracy of WetSpa model. The Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency was obtained 0.61% and 0.56% for the calibration and validation periods respectively. Moreover the aggregation measure criterion had values of 64% and 62% for the calibration and validation periods respectively. These criteria showed that the WetSpa model is a suitable model to simulate runoff in the Baghsalian watershed. As a result of land use changes from 1986 to 2012, simulated total runoff, surface runoff and peak discharges rates increased, while the rate of increase in surface runoff was higher than the rate of increase in total runoff. Total run off and surface run off for land use 1986 was 431.62 and 158.77 million m<sup>3</sup> respectively and pick discharge was 27.45. These values for land use 2012 was 480.31, 182.86 and 30.94.
<strong> </strong>Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222Investigation of groundwater balance in Tuserkan plain of Hmaedan using MODFLOWInvestigation of groundwater balance in Tuserkan plain of Hmaedan using MODFLOW3713825806310.22059/ije.2015.58063FASamanehPoormohammadiPhD of science and watershed engineering in water researches institiuteMohammad TaqiDastoraniFaculty member of Ferdowsi university of MashhadHadiJafariFaculty member of Shahrud University of technologyM Ohammad HassanRahimianPHD student of water engineering in Isfahan university of TechnologyMassoudGoodarziFaculty member of Soil Conservation and Watershed Management Research Institute, Tehran,0000-0003-3577-739XZahraMesmarianMsc student of water resources in Abureyhan universityFatemeBaqeriPhD student of Shahrud university of technologyJournal Article20150806Recent droughts and indiscriminate use of ground water for agriculture, is the main problems of the especially desert country.Water crisis has gripped all of country Plains, and Due tothe reduction of surface water resources and successive droughts, illegal exploitation of ground water resources is increasing.The knowledge of the water balance plains can be helped in the water resources management.Tuyserkan plains is one of the most Lowland in the Hamedan province with widly agricuctural land that is increasing every year, Consequently, the pressure on groundwater resources is creased. The aim of this study is invstigation of water balance in Tuyserkan plain in water year 88-87 for optimal management of water resources especially for agricultural uses. For this purpose, iso potential of Plains is maping next Attempted to identify the input and output in plain and ground water balance was calculated manually. The next step using of determining changes volume in plain, accuracy of water balance caculated was determined. Finally, there quiring of inputmap andbasic information is providing on Modflow numerical model and GMS software was runs.Result show that plain ground water balances was negetive and shortage of storage was -12.2 MM3 in 1387-88. Manually water balance and water table changes supported reult of model ground water balance.Recent droughts and indiscriminate use of ground water for agriculture, is the main problems of the especially desert country.Water crisis has gripped all of country Plains, and Due tothe reduction of surface water resources and successive droughts, illegal exploitation of ground water resources is increasing.The knowledge of the water balance plains can be helped in the water resources management.Tuyserkan plains is one of the most Lowland in the Hamedan province with widly agricuctural land that is increasing every year, Consequently, the pressure on groundwater resources is creased. The aim of this study is invstigation of water balance in Tuyserkan plain in water year 88-87 for optimal management of water resources especially for agricultural uses. For this purpose, iso potential of Plains is maping next Attempted to identify the input and output in plain and ground water balance was calculated manually. The next step using of determining changes volume in plain, accuracy of water balance caculated was determined. Finally, there quiring of inputmap andbasic information is providing on Modflow numerical model and GMS software was runs.Result show that plain ground water balances was negetive and shortage of storage was -12.2 MM3 in 1387-88. Manually water balance and water table changes supported reult of model ground water balance.Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222Trend assessment of changes in water quality plain EyvanakeyTrend assessment of changes in water quality plain Eyvanakey3833945806410.22059/ije.2015.58064FANaserEbadatiIslamic Azad University, Islamshahr branchJournal Article20151202The trend of changes in water quality plain Eyvanakey to manage shared water resources is necessary Semnan and Tehranprovince.For this purpose after determining the study range in the Eyvanekey area, field investigation was performed to identify the geological formations and the distribution there of as well as the faults and salt domes locations using existing geological maps. Afterwards through identifying the wells location and using decomposition results of the area water samples, the concentration contour maps of chloride, sulfate, sodium, etc. were plotted.The faults' performance and the plotted maps' interpretation showed that the highest salinity concentration lied in the eastern and southern parts of the plain and their change trend occurred in highlands towards central and western parts of the study range, consistent with the main river path.The waters of bicarbonate and magnesium ions have the situation better than the other. Best and worst water quality in the western regions in eastern and southern regions that are close to evaporate mass is located.Wilcox diagram was determined and show the eastern and southern areas are in the worst category Wilcox. In terms of agriculture, not suitable water has a salinity and electrical conductivity less central plains, which are more desirable for agricultureThe trend of changes in water quality plain Eyvanakey to manage shared water resources is necessary Semnan and Tehranprovince.For this purpose after determining the study range in the Eyvanekey area, field investigation was performed to identify the geological formations and the distribution there of as well as the faults and salt domes locations using existing geological maps. Afterwards through identifying the wells location and using decomposition results of the area water samples, the concentration contour maps of chloride, sulfate, sodium, etc. were plotted.The faults' performance and the plotted maps' interpretation showed that the highest salinity concentration lied in the eastern and southern parts of the plain and their change trend occurred in highlands towards central and western parts of the study range, consistent with the main river path.The waters of bicarbonate and magnesium ions have the situation better than the other. Best and worst water quality in the western regions in eastern and southern regions that are close to evaporate mass is located.Wilcox diagram was determined and show the eastern and southern areas are in the worst category Wilcox. In terms of agriculture, not suitable water has a salinity and electrical conductivity less central plains, which are more desirable for agricultureFaculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222An Assessment of Changes in Groundwater Quality and Groundwater Levels in Lake Urmia BasinAn Assessment of Changes in Groundwater Quality and Groundwater Levels in Lake Urmia Basin3954045806510.22059/ije.2015.58065FASaeedMehriFaculty of Geodesy and Geomatics Engineering, K.N. Toosi University of Technology, Tehran, IranAli AsgharAlesheikhFaculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of Tehran0000-0001-9537-9401ZahraJavadzadeJournal Article20151106Groundwater quality has a direct impact on human life. The main objective of this research is to investigate changes in groundwater quality and levels in Lake Urmia basin. Tasoj and Shiramin plains are selected as a study area. The suitability of groundwater quality for drinking and agricultural purposes were assessed using Schoeller and Wilcox Diagram. According to the Wilcox classification, the groundwater of Tasoj and Shiramin plains fall into C3S1 and C2S4 Classification, respectively. Based on the Schoeller classification, the groundwater of Tasoj plain is suitable for drinking, but the concentrations of pollutants are above the permissible limits for drinking, in Shiramin. Analyzing data from 2003 to 2014, and the parameters like EC, PH, SO4, TH, TDS, Mg, Ca and Cl, showed that the concentrations of these pollutants are increased over time. The correlation of Ec and groundwater level decrease, was computed as -0.37, which can mean that the increase in Ec is a result of groundwater level reduction. The results showed that the reduction of groundwater quality had an inverse relationship with groundwater withdrawal. Every year, underground water level in Tasoj decreased about 18cm and the volume of its aquifer is decreased by 1.27 bcm. For Shiramin, ground water level and volume increased by 1cm and 0.006 bcm every year, respectively. Reduction of groundwater withdrawal in recent years is a result of it’s poor quality. According to the results, the establishment of proper drainage systems to control soil salinity is necessary in study area.Groundwater quality has a direct impact on human life. The main objective of this research is to investigate changes in groundwater quality and levels in Lake Urmia basin. Tasoj and Shiramin plains are selected as a study area. The suitability of groundwater quality for drinking and agricultural purposes were assessed using Schoeller and Wilcox Diagram. According to the Wilcox classification, the groundwater of Tasoj and Shiramin plains fall into C3S1 and C2S4 Classification, respectively. Based on the Schoeller classification, the groundwater of Tasoj plain is suitable for drinking, but the concentrations of pollutants are above the permissible limits for drinking, in Shiramin. Analyzing data from 2003 to 2014, and the parameters like EC, PH, SO4, TH, TDS, Mg, Ca and Cl, showed that the concentrations of these pollutants are increased over time. The correlation of Ec and groundwater level decrease, was computed as -0.37, which can mean that the increase in Ec is a result of groundwater level reduction. The results showed that the reduction of groundwater quality had an inverse relationship with groundwater withdrawal. Every year, underground water level in Tasoj decreased about 18cm and the volume of its aquifer is decreased by 1.27 bcm. For Shiramin, ground water level and volume increased by 1cm and 0.006 bcm every year, respectively. Reduction of groundwater withdrawal in recent years is a result of it’s poor quality. According to the results, the establishment of proper drainage systems to control soil salinity is necessary in study area.Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222Monitoring temporal and spatial changes in land use in the Shazand WatershedMonitoring temporal and spatial changes in land use in the Shazand Watershed4054155806610.22059/ije.2015.58066FAAli AkbarDavudi RadPh.D. Student Department of Watershed Management Engineering, Faculty of Natural Resources, Tarbiat Modares University, Noor, IranSeyed HamidrezaSadeghiProfessor,Department of Watershed Management Engineering, Faculty of Natural Resources, Tarbiat Modares University, Noor, Iran,0000-0002-5419-8062AmirSadoddinAssociate Professor, Department of Range Land and Watershed Management, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources, Gorgan, Iran0000-0002-4192-4010Journal Article20151213The present study aimed to monitor the land use change in the Shazand Watershed with different development policies using land use net changes and exchanges in land change modeller (LCM) forperiod of1973to2014and in sub-watersheds scale. In the study period, rangeland area reduced about 380 Km<sup>2</sup> and rainfed and irrigation farm lands increased successively 100 and 150 Km<sup>2</sup> in the first and the second period and then reduced.The highest annual rate of orchard increase (0.265%) occurred in the third period. The highest increment for residential area (60%) and abandoned land (23.49%) were observed inthe second and third periods, and for the third and fourth periods, respectively. The results also showed that the highest increment of land use change in the mountainous sub-watersheds i.e., Azna and Nahremian occurred before industrial development period and then tended to the plain sub-watersheds i.e., Poledoab. Generally, the maximum land use change was observed in the second period (32.96%). The types of land management, the pattern and the process of land use change especially the expansion of industrial activities in the study region showed that the development policies had an important role in the study region and spatial and temporal patterns of land use change played an important role in creating the current state of the region. Accordingly, any land management program for the study region has to be planned with regard to the spatial and temporal patterns of land use changes considering the adaptive management of the watershed resources.The present study aimed to monitor the land use change in the Shazand Watershed with different development policies using land use net changes and exchanges in land change modeller (LCM) forperiod of1973to2014and in sub-watersheds scale. In the study period, rangeland area reduced about 380 Km<sup>2</sup> and rainfed and irrigation farm lands increased successively 100 and 150 Km<sup>2</sup> in the first and the second period and then reduced.The highest annual rate of orchard increase (0.265%) occurred in the third period. The highest increment for residential area (60%) and abandoned land (23.49%) were observed inthe second and third periods, and for the third and fourth periods, respectively. The results also showed that the highest increment of land use change in the mountainous sub-watersheds i.e., Azna and Nahremian occurred before industrial development period and then tended to the plain sub-watersheds i.e., Poledoab. Generally, the maximum land use change was observed in the second period (32.96%). The types of land management, the pattern and the process of land use change especially the expansion of industrial activities in the study region showed that the development policies had an important role in the study region and spatial and temporal patterns of land use change played an important role in creating the current state of the region. Accordingly, any land management program for the study region has to be planned with regard to the spatial and temporal patterns of land use changes considering the adaptive management of the watershed resources.Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222Drought monitoring with Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) and drought forecasting with Multi-layers perceptron (Case study: Tehran and Alborz Provinces)Drought monitoring with Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) and drought forecasting with Multi-layers perceptron (Case study: Tehran and Alborz Provinces)4174285806810.22059/ije.2015.58068FAMohammad HosseinJahangir0000-0002-0991-7646MeimanehKhoshmashrabanHosseinYousefi0000-0002-6372-5127Journal Article20151213Drought is the one of the repeating phenomenon in all areas with high rainfall and low rainfall climates and is known as a natural disaster. Iran is one of the countries those involved with this phenomenon in different parts of it especially in river basins. Tehran Province due to its importance in terms of social and political faced with growing population that it would contributes to the reduction of water sources in the province. Alborz province which in the past was considered one of the cities of Tehran, in this study were investigated. Losses incurred from drought in this area is socio-economic. In this study, we monitor and forecast drought, with rainfall data from 38 synoptic stations in Tehran and Alborz provinces. By Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) during 31 hydrological years between 1983-84 to 2013-14 at 3, 6, 9, 12 and 24 months average times. Study on SPI12 index showed that about half of the stations entire the study period were normal and about a third of the stations in this period had drought conditions. According to the numerical values SPI index 1996-97 and 1998-99 were selected as years those have been faced with drought. Severe and very severe periods of drought, the most severe drought level (lowest SPI) was calculated for some of the stations in periods of 3, 6, 9, 12 and 24 months. Also forecasted with Multi-layers perceptron neural network method and the results was very close to the observed data.
ce.
Drought is the one of the repeating phenomenon in all areas with high rainfall and low rainfall climates and is known as a natural disaster. Iran is one of the countries those involved with this phenomenon in different parts of it especially in river basins. Tehran Province due to its importance in terms of social and political faced with growing population that it would contributes to the reduction of water sources in the province. Alborz province which in the past was considered one of the cities of Tehran, in this study were investigated. Losses incurred from drought in this area is socio-economic. In this study, we monitor and forecast drought, with rainfall data from 38 synoptic stations in Tehran and Alborz provinces. By Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) during 31 hydrological years between 1983-84 to 2013-14 at 3, 6, 9, 12 and 24 months average times. Study on SPI12 index showed that about half of the stations entire the study period were normal and about a third of the stations in this period had drought conditions. According to the numerical values SPI index 1996-97 and 1998-99 were selected as years those have been faced with drought. Severe and very severe periods of drought, the most severe drought level (lowest SPI) was calculated for some of the stations in periods of 3, 6, 9, 12 and 24 months. Also forecasted with Multi-layers perceptron neural network method and the results was very close to the observed data.
ce.
Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222Analysis of Monthly Wet and Dry Spell Occurrence by using Power Laws in Golestan Province, IranAnalysis of Monthly Wet and Dry Spell Occurrence by using Power Laws in Golestan Province, Iran4294435806910.22059/ije.2015.58069FARaoofMostafazadehDepartment of Range and Watershed Management, Faculty of Agricultural and Natural Resources, University of Mohaghegh Ardabili, Ardabil, Iran0000-0002-0401-0260MehdiVafakhahDepartment of Watershed Management Engineering, Faculty of Natural Resources, Tarbiat Modares University, Noor, Iran0000-0002-8113-9113MohsenZabihiYoung Researchers and Elite Club, Bojnourd Branch, Islamic Azad University, Bojnourd, IranJournal Article20150817The wet and dry spells can be defined as a number of consecutive months with rain amount greater or less than the truncation level, respectively.Analysis of the wet and dry spell properties of monthly rainfall series at 40 meteorology stations in the Golestan Province is carried out for an extended period of 34 years (1974–2007). The results proved that the patterns of wet and dry spell durations can be determined using power law technique. Wet and dry spell duration characteristics, as well as the frequency of dry spells for the length of (1-9 months) are discussed. The longest dry spells are identified in North-east of the Golestan province in Tamar and Minudasht stations with 5 and 6 times occurrence respectively. Whereas longest wet spell with the 9 months length is shown over the central part of the study area. It has been observed that the longest durations of dry periods occur in the stations that located in the Northern part of the Golestan Province. The interpretations of double logarithmic plots of (frequency versus length period) can be used to compare the occurrence patterns of wet and dry spells in the stations over different precipitation regimes. Further applications of power law method are suggested to obtain a better understanding for the interpretation of wet and dry spells regions with different climatic conditions.
<strong> </strong>The wet and dry spells can be defined as a number of consecutive months with rain amount greater or less than the truncation level, respectively.Analysis of the wet and dry spell properties of monthly rainfall series at 40 meteorology stations in the Golestan Province is carried out for an extended period of 34 years (1974–2007). The results proved that the patterns of wet and dry spell durations can be determined using power law technique. Wet and dry spell duration characteristics, as well as the frequency of dry spells for the length of (1-9 months) are discussed. The longest dry spells are identified in North-east of the Golestan province in Tamar and Minudasht stations with 5 and 6 times occurrence respectively. Whereas longest wet spell with the 9 months length is shown over the central part of the study area. It has been observed that the longest durations of dry periods occur in the stations that located in the Northern part of the Golestan Province. The interpretations of double logarithmic plots of (frequency versus length period) can be used to compare the occurrence patterns of wet and dry spells in the stations over different precipitation regimes. Further applications of power law method are suggested to obtain a better understanding for the interpretation of wet and dry spells regions with different climatic conditions.
<strong> </strong>Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222Separation of the effects of climate variability and human activities
on runoff of Bakhtegan BasinSeparation of the effects of climate variability and human activities
on runoff of Bakhtegan Basin4454545807010.22059/ije.2015.58070FAHamidrezaGharechaeiP.hD. Student, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, KarajAlirezaMoghaddam NiaAssociate Professor, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, KarajArashMalekianAssociate Professor, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, KarajAzadehAhmadiAssistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Isfahan University of Technology, IsfahanJournal Article20151208Arid and semi-arid ecosystems are very sensitivity to changes. Fluctuations in climate variables and increasing human activities; result in the changes in hydrological processes of these ecosystems, and consequently, their structures degradation. In this study, hydro-climatic data of the Bakhtegan basin for the period of 1972–2011, were analyzed to assess effects of climate variability and human activities on hydrology processes of the study area. A combined analysis of statistical tests for trend analysis and change pointe detection indicated that the basin runoff had have a significant decreasing trend over last 40 years. The change point of runoff occurred in 1999, the annual runoff of the study basin divided into two periods. The period of 1972–1999 was used as the base period for calibration and validation, and the period of 2000-2011 as a human-induced period for the model processing. Then, the hydrologic sensitivity analysis method was the approach employed to evaluate the effects of climate variability and human activities on runoff. According to the analyses conducted, contribution of climate variability in the runoff reduction of Bakhtegan basin was estimated equal to 62.45% and contribution of human activities equal to 37.55%. These results can be very useful as a reference for regional water resources assessment; management and maintaining the integrity of regional ecosystems.
Arid and semi-arid ecosystems are very sensitivity to changes. Fluctuations in climate variables and increasing human activities; result in the changes in hydrological processes of these ecosystems, and consequently, their structures degradation. In this study, hydro-climatic data of the Bakhtegan basin for the period of 1972–2011, were analyzed to assess effects of climate variability and human activities on hydrology processes of the study area. A combined analysis of statistical tests for trend analysis and change pointe detection indicated that the basin runoff had have a significant decreasing trend over last 40 years. The change point of runoff occurred in 1999, the annual runoff of the study basin divided into two periods. The period of 1972–1999 was used as the base period for calibration and validation, and the period of 2000-2011 as a human-induced period for the model processing. Then, the hydrologic sensitivity analysis method was the approach employed to evaluate the effects of climate variability and human activities on runoff. According to the analyses conducted, contribution of climate variability in the runoff reduction of Bakhtegan basin was estimated equal to 62.45% and contribution of human activities equal to 37.55%. These results can be very useful as a reference for regional water resources assessment; management and maintaining the integrity of regional ecosystems.
Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222Uncertainty of annual maximum daily rainfall under greenhouse gases emission scenarios in 2040: Khorasan-Razavi provinceUncertainty of annual maximum daily rainfall under greenhouse gases emission scenarios in 2040: Khorasan-Razavi province4554655807210.22059/ije.2015.58072FAHesamSeyed KaboliDepartment of civil engineering, Jundishapur University of Technology, Ahvaz, IranJournal Article20150917Nowadays, increasing of greenhouse gases emissionscussed by human activities is the main factor of climate change. Global warming has also changed the frequency of extreme rainfall events in many areas. This research presents an analysis of how the change in the frequency of maximum daily rainfall under three emission scenarios in 2021-2040 periods in the Khorasan-Razavi province. The maximum daily rainfall series areprojected for the future periods in the 23 weather stations by developing a nonparametric downscaling model for arid and semi-arid regions. The uncertainty of climate change scenarios is quantified using a simple parametric uncertainty estimator in the three risk levels (25%, 50% and 75%) for each of emission scenarios. The frequency analysis of maximum series showsthat the daily rainfall intensitiesin therisk level 2 will be changed between -22.9% to +20.3% than baseline (1993-2012), that a wider range of these changes is related to thelonger return periods. Generally, central and southern regions will be received slight increase than northern regions. The rainfall intensities in more areas decrease with theincreasein greenhouse gases emissions that this decreasewill be more for the rainfalls with lower return periods. Flooding in the high rainfall regions will be also occurred withseverity while the low rainfall regions get a more decrease. Maximum daily rainfall will be increased in the future periods by reducing the level of risk; it can be warning to design hydraulic infrastructures with high emphasis.
<strong> </strong>
Nowadays, increasing of greenhouse gases emissionscussed by human activities is the main factor of climate change. Global warming has also changed the frequency of extreme rainfall events in many areas. This research presents an analysis of how the change in the frequency of maximum daily rainfall under three emission scenarios in 2021-2040 periods in the Khorasan-Razavi province. The maximum daily rainfall series areprojected for the future periods in the 23 weather stations by developing a nonparametric downscaling model for arid and semi-arid regions. The uncertainty of climate change scenarios is quantified using a simple parametric uncertainty estimator in the three risk levels (25%, 50% and 75%) for each of emission scenarios. The frequency analysis of maximum series showsthat the daily rainfall intensitiesin therisk level 2 will be changed between -22.9% to +20.3% than baseline (1993-2012), that a wider range of these changes is related to thelonger return periods. Generally, central and southern regions will be received slight increase than northern regions. The rainfall intensities in more areas decrease with theincreasein greenhouse gases emissions that this decreasewill be more for the rainfalls with lower return periods. Flooding in the high rainfall regions will be also occurred withseverity while the low rainfall regions get a more decrease. Maximum daily rainfall will be increased in the future periods by reducing the level of risk; it can be warning to design hydraulic infrastructures with high emphasis.
<strong> </strong>
Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222Comparing the performance of semi-distributed SWAT and lumped HEC-HMS hydrological models in simulating river discharge (Case study: Ab-Bakhsha Watershed)Comparing the performance of semi-distributed SWAT and lumped HEC-HMS hydrological models in simulating river discharge (Case study: Ab-Bakhsha Watershed)4674795807410.22059/ije.2015.58074FAMohammad SoheilRezazadehMSc student of water engineering, Water Engineering Department, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman, IranMoeinGanjalikhaniMSc graduate student of water resources management, Water Engineering Department, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman, IranMohammadZounemat-KermaniAssistant professor, Water Engineering Department, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman, IranJournal Article20150810In many flood control projects, watershed management and water resources development, calculation of the river flow discharge is of the paramount importance which requires a comprehensive hydrological modeling of the region of interest. In this respect, lack of the existence of hydrometric and meteorology measuring stations in most of watersheds, has caused numerous problems in development and management of water resources planning. The hydrological models which are used to simulate watersheds are generally categorized into two groups of lumped anddistributed models. In this study SWAT and HEC-HMS models were used to compare the capability of semi-distributed and lumped models in watershed simulation. For this, 31-year data of Abakhsha Watershed - including the whole information of hydrometer and meteorology stations in the region which are located in Bardsir County in Kerman province - have been used. The obtained results indicate that both models have acceptable accuracy; however, semi-distributed SWAT model is superior to HEC-HMS model. Being semi-distributed is one of the most important reasons for SWAT’s superiority which gets the advantage of considering climate components and using hydrological response units.In many flood control projects, watershed management and water resources development, calculation of the river flow discharge is of the paramount importance which requires a comprehensive hydrological modeling of the region of interest. In this respect, lack of the existence of hydrometric and meteorology measuring stations in most of watersheds, has caused numerous problems in development and management of water resources planning. The hydrological models which are used to simulate watersheds are generally categorized into two groups of lumped anddistributed models. In this study SWAT and HEC-HMS models were used to compare the capability of semi-distributed and lumped models in watershed simulation. For this, 31-year data of Abakhsha Watershed - including the whole information of hydrometer and meteorology stations in the region which are located in Bardsir County in Kerman province - have been used. The obtained results indicate that both models have acceptable accuracy; however, semi-distributed SWAT model is superior to HEC-HMS model. Being semi-distributed is one of the most important reasons for SWAT’s superiority which gets the advantage of considering climate components and using hydrological response units.Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of TehranIranian journal of Ecohydrology2423-60982420151222English AbstractsEnglish Abstracts1115996010.22059/ije.2015.59960FAJournal Article20161231