Estimating changes in the amount of water harvesting from air humidity and evapotranspiration due to climate change (CMIP6)

Document Type : Research Article

Authors

1 Associate Professor, Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Imam Khomeini International University Qazvin, Iran

2 PhD Student of irrigation and drainage, Imam Khomeini International University Qazvin, Iran

3 PhD Student of water resources management, Imam Khomeini International University Qazvin, Iran

Abstract

This research aims to investigate the impact of climate change based on the sixth report (CMIP) under two scenarios SSP3_7.0 and SSP5_8.5 on forecasting temperature, wind speed, evaporation-transpiration (ET), and the amount of extractable water (Q) by two CNRM models and ESM was at 16 meteorological stations during the future period of 2025-2044 and 2045-2064. The statistical analysis results showed that the impact of climate change under two scenarios on temperature, ET and Q was significant. CNRM model performed better than ESM in temperature estimation (CC=0.96-0.98). From examining the results of the CNRM model, the maximum and minimum RMSE of temperature in Khormadreh and Zanjan stations were 8.30 and -0.5 , respectively; Also, the RMSE value of wind speed fluctuated between 0.82-0.5 m.s-1. The examination of ESM model showed the fluctuation of RMSE between 2.55-8.45  in temperature parameter and 0.62-0.68 meters per second in wind speed. The maximum and minimum values of Q and ET in the seasonal survey occurred in summer and winter, respectively. Both models had poor performance in predicting wind speed. The maximum ET under the SSP5_8.5 scenario by the CNRM model (first period) at Khorramdare station is equal to 104.29 mm.month-1 and the minimum value by the ESM model (first period) under the SSP3_7.0 scenario at Firuzkoh station is equal to 25.60 mm.month-1 was estimated. The maximum Q under the SSP3_7.0 scenario by the ESM model (first period) at Malair station is equal to 20.70 Lit.day.m-2 and the minimum value by the CNRM model (second period) under the SSP3_7.0 scenario at the Astara station is equal to 0.3 Lit.day.m-2 were estimated.

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References

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Iranian journal of Ecohydrology
Volume 10, Issue 4
January 2024
Pages 555-573

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History

  • Receive Date: 24 September 2023
  • Revise Date: 24 October 2023
  • Accept Date: 23 November 2023
  • First Publish Date: 13 February 2024
  • Publish Date: 15 March 2024

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