Document Type : Research Article
Authors
1
faculty of economic agricultural research center of university of zabol
2
2- Associate Professor, Management and Economic Faculty, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran
3
3- PhD in Agricultural Economics, Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Management and Economics, University of Sistan and Baluchistan, Zahedan.
10.22059/ije.2025.389977.1862
Abstract
The present study models the dynamics of the water resources management system in the Sistan focusing on the water-food-energy nexus.
Objective: water, food, energy system dynamic model simulation was developed, taking into account the results of Sensitivity analysis, to develop sustainable water resources policy in the form of a water demand, water supply, food resource management, energy management
Method: The initial modeling and simulation were conducted using Vensim software. The required data included surface water inflow, water delivered to the domestic and agricultural sectors, number of agricultural wells, cultivated area and crop yields, production levels of livestock, poultry, and fisheries, energy carriers for the period 2006-2036. After applying each of the water demand and supply management policies and food and energy resource management policies separately to the model, the best scenarios were selected and implemented in combination. The results were then compared with one another.
Findings:
results of policy implementation indicate that maintaining water rights, along with other agricultural and energy policies, can be an effective solution for achieving sustainability in the region.
Conclusion:
The analysis of results and data comparisons revealed that over the 30-year period, the Sistan region will face unfavorable conditions regarding water resources and food production.
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