Ten Year Prediction of Groundwater Level for the Purpose of of Determining Reasonable Policies for Exploitation from Aquifer

Document Type : Research Article


1 Master of science Student, Department of Renewable Energies and Environment, Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of Tehran.

2 Associate professor, Faculty of Environment, University of Tehran, Iran


In recent decades, using water resources is increased for the sake of industrial, domestic and agricultural water consumptions by increase in urbanization and industrial development in Karaj region that fraction of groundwater resources is too much according to the recent drought years and reduced precipitation in Middle-East. These outcomes has caused groundwater level drop, reduced in aquifer storage and many springs and qanats were deserted and dried up. Therefore, studying groundwater status accurately, groundwater level drop reasons, the consequences and presenting solutions to conservation and balancing groundwater are essential matter in this study area that all of them depends on determining reasonable policies for exploiting from the aquifer. Therefore, three scenarios entitled optimistic status, pessimistic status and continuing current exploitation status were defined to predict groundwater level of Karaj study area from water year 2014-15 until water year 2023-24 utilizing MATLAB interface. According to the results, 12.834 m, 17.019 m and 4.906 m water level drops were computed for continuing current exploitation status, pessimistic status and optimistic status, respectively.


Main Subjects


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Volume 3, Issue 3
September 2017
Pages 405-414
  • Receive Date: 27 August 2016
  • Revise Date: 11 November 2016
  • Accept Date: 09 November 2016
  • First Publish Date: 09 November 2016